Macrocosm Substack

Predicting the price of electricity

May 2025

Our team shows solar costs are on track to fall to $3–15/MWh by 2050 while wind plateaus around $35/MWh. The difference boils down to wind's heavy, site-specific construction costs, which don't get cheaper with experience the way modular solar components do. Learn how our models get granular enough to guide capital flow amid increasing uncertainty.